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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Trump: For me, the stock market is everything. US President-elect Trump rang the opening bell on the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday, and he was named the person of the year in 2024 by Time magazine. After ringing the bell, Trump said in an interview, "If you don't produce (goods) here (in the United States), you have to pay 21% tax. If you produce here, we will try to reduce the tax rate to 15%. You must produce your products in the United States. " Trump also attributed the recent rise in the stock market to his defeat of Biden (not Harris). "I have always said that for me, the stock market is everything. This is very important. " He also revealed that after returning to the White House, he will establish closer ties with some of the richest and most influential people.Market News: It is reported that Iraq's strategic wheat reserve is enough to meet the consumption for more than six months.

China and the United States renewed the agreement on scientific and technological cooperation between the two governments. On December 13, 2024, representatives of the Chinese and American governments exchanged notes and signed the Protocol on Amending and Extending the Agreement on Scientific and Technological Cooperation between the Two Governments, which extended the Agreement for five years from August 27, 2024. (Ministry of Science and Technology)The Canadian dollar fell to 1.4210, the lowest since April 2020.Guoyuan Securities: A special dividend plan was drawn up and announced by Guoyuan Securities. On December 13, 2024, the company held the 20th meeting of the 10th Board of Directors and the 11th meeting of the 10th Board of Supervisors, at which the Proposal on Special Dividend Plan was reviewed and approved. As of September 30, 2024, the accumulated undistributed profit of the company was 7.743 billion yuan, and the accumulated distributable profit of the parent company was 5.262 billion yuan. In order to enhance the investor's sense of gain and improve the investor's return level, the company has drawn up a special dividend plan: based on the existing total share capital of 4.364 billion shares, a cash dividend of 0.60 yuan will be distributed to all shareholders for every 10 shares, and a total cash dividend of 262 million yuan will be distributed. No bonus shares will be distributed, and capital will not be increased from the provident fund.

Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.Market News: It is reported that Iraq's strategic wheat reserve is enough to meet the consumption for more than six months.ByteDance AI assistant Doubao fired the interactive platform of 7 listed companies in Tianyu Mathematics Department for 10 days, 6 boards and so on. In the global monthly activity list in November, the MAU of Doubao APP reached 59.98 million, ranking second in the world, second only to ChatGPT of OpenAI. In terms of A-shares, Tianyu Digital Branch closed at 6 boards in 10 days, but Zhijia had 5 boards in 6 days, and the bee assistant once had a daily limit of 20CM. According to incomplete statistics, as of press time, seven listed companies, including Desheng Technology, Zhouming Technology, Juran Zhijia, Bee Assistant, Zhongke Lanxun, Zhongke Chuangda and Insai Group, have recently been investigated or responded to the cooperation with bean bags on the interactive platform.